Her main weakness is simply that she has the most Republican district in the state. Very few voters know anything about the record of their member of Congress.

The GOP also somehow managed to not shoot themselves in the foot and nominated a superficially moderate Black man with a Latina mother. He is also carefully avoiding any mention of his political affiliation in his ads and campaign materials. I have to imagine the vast majority of other Republican candidates in the district would not do as well against her.