Submitted by yeah_i_am_new_here t3_126tuuc in Futurology
elehman839 t1_jebley2 wrote
Reply to comment by samwell_4548 in Thought experiment: we're only [x] # of hardware improvements away from "AGI" by yeah_i_am_new_here
Yes, and I think this reflects an interesting "environmental" difference experienced by humans and AIs.
Complex living creatures (like humans) exist for a long time in a changing world, and so they need to continuously learn and adapt to change. Now, to some extent, we do follow the model of, "Spend N years getting trained and then M years reaping the benefit", but that's only a subtle shift in emphasis, not a black-and-white thing as for ML training vs. inference.
In contrast, AI developed largely for short-term, high-volume applications. In that setting, it makes sense to spend spend a lot of upfront time on training, because you're going to effectively clone the thing and run it a billion times, amortizing the training cost. And giving it continuous learning ability isn't that useful, because each application lasts only minutes, seconds, or even milliseconds.
Making persistent AI that continuously learns and remembers seems like a cool problem! I'm sure this will require some new ideas, but with the number of smart people now engaged in the area, I bet those will come quickly-- if there's sufficient market demand. An I can believe that there might be...
yeah_i_am_new_here OP t1_jebnrn5 wrote
Well put! To piggy back off your point, I think the persistence issue in it's current state is what will ultimately stop it from taking over too many knowledge worker jobs. The efficiency it currently creates for each current knowledge worker will of course be a threat to employment if production doesn't increase as well, but if history is at all trustworthy, production will increase.
I think the biggest issue right now (outside of data storage) for creating AI that is persistent in it's knowledge is the algorithm to receive and accurately weigh new data on the fly. You could say it's the algorithm for wisdom, even.
Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments