Submitted by PeteWenzel t3_y1eklp in Futurology
FuturologyBot t1_irwzrxc wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/PeteWenzel:
EVs have gone from less than 1% of light commercial vehicle sales to 10% in just the last two years. Sales reached a record high of almost 18,000 in August and look likely to keep rising in the final few months of the year.
Most major oil outlooks now acknowledge that passenger vehicle oil demand has either already peaked or will soon. But almost all of them assume steady growth in demand from the commercial vehicle segment as countries get richer and more freight continues to be moved by road.
In BNEF’s 2022 Road Fuel Outlook, commercial vehicle growth keeps oil demand growing, but not for long. This year’s outlook has overall road transport oil demand peaking in 2027, but if sales of electric trucks continue to rise sharply in China, that could be pulled forward.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/y1eklp/chinas_electric_trucks_may_well_pull_forward_peak/irwv2y6/
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