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gleamingthenewb t1_j221ow1 wrote

Well, you could let Robin Hanson throw some cold water on short timelines and then take it from there: https://futureoflife.org/podcast/robin-hanson-on-predicting-the-future-of-artificial-intelligence/

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gaudiocomplex OP t1_j2545p4 wrote

This was super helpful for the anxiety. Thank you. :)

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gleamingthenewb t1_j2561dn wrote

I'm glad to hear it! Hanson's perspective is very well-reasoned and does not make the kinds of speculative leaps that drive a lot of the forecasting about AGI.

Interesting note: Hanson came up with the Great Filter hypothesis about the Fermi Problem.

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gaudiocomplex OP t1_j2569gu wrote

Interestingly enough, I'm actually from the little town where the Drake equation was developed 🙂

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