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m0llusk t1_j5yays9 wrote

There is some good analysis of these questions in the book Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner

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iNstein t1_j5yjc87 wrote

I wonder if they predicted the sales numbers of their book and how accurate they turned out to be.

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m0llusk t1_j5yt8g6 wrote

Academic results are often not particularly popular when published. If you want something popular, readable, and profitable then I would suggest you might enjoy some fiction such as Harry Potter. Let me know how my prediction turns out.

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