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maretus t1_j67y7iw wrote

Reply to comment by TheGolgafrinchan in Are most of our predictions wrong? by Sasuke_1738

Ray kurzweil has a theory called ‘the theory of accelerating returns’ which postulates that because of exponential growth, we will see the equivalent of 20,000 years worth of innovation just this century.

Because technology grows exponentially and we’re at the point on the curve where it’s happening so fast that even the rate of change has achieved exponential growth.

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TheGolgafrinchan t1_j68nhrr wrote

Yeah, I know about Kurzweil. The tech singularity is close. Maybe 20 years away, by his reckoning (though human-level intelligence is likely by 2029). Though if you follow Vernon Virge's estimations, the singularity will be sooner than 2045 - maybe before the end of this decade.

There's a fear that this is going to be a bad thing, based on a general cyberphobia. Are we going to replace ourselves? Will computers view us as inferior and thus eventually seek war with us? Will we be attacked or assimilated like Star Trek predicted with the Borg plot line, or how Homosapiens attacked and mated the Neanderthals out of existence?

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maretus t1_j68r43r wrote

Idk, but I’m excited to find out. What a time to be alive.

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