Gnafets t1_ja2xy23 wrote
Being fearful about artificial general intelligence right now is akin to being afraid of overpopulation...on Mars. Anyone who has worked in machine learning research knows just how far we are from such a thing. It is not an exaggeration to say that neural networks simply are not capable of being the technology behind a supposed general intelligence. These ridiculous claims need to stop, especially because there are very real problems in privacy and bias that we do need to focus on.
jamesj OP t1_ja3weuo wrote
I agree problems of bias and privacy are real and important, but your claim about what anyone in ML believes just isn't true, and the article goes in to some depth about it. Experts in machine learning collectovely give a 50% probability by 2061 of AGI with huge differences in their individual estimates. Almost all of them say it will happen in the next 75 years.
If experts were saying there was a 90% chance an asteroid would hit the earth in the next 75 years, would you claim we shouldn't start working on a solution now?
Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments