Submitted by Sheos22 t3_11dns9p in Futurology
I was wondering, with the generative AI stuff blowing up nowadays, if we're getting closer to the "singularity" as the development of a strong AI ?
Submitted by Sheos22 t3_11dns9p in Futurology
I was wondering, with the generative AI stuff blowing up nowadays, if we're getting closer to the "singularity" as the development of a strong AI ?
[removed]
Right on. Also he is "getting closer from" it
We're getting closer no matter what we do.
But let's be real, most of what is called AI today existed in some capacity 10 years ago but nobody called it AI yet because it isn't. Just because an algorithm can be run fast enough at a low enough cost to be useful now doesn't make it AI.
I don't think so. What we are doing is creating incrementally more sophisticated algorithms that can operate faster than before on larger data sets than before. It is what we have had for quite some time just now on a bigger scale. The self-improvement is interesting but it's still just a dumb machine doing exactly what it is programmed to do with no capability to expand to something greater.
We currently do not understand how the incredibly complex human consciousness works so we cannot begin to imagine what it will take to someday replicate it. It's a hard problem that is stalled in many ways as evidenced by many competing theories that lack evidence to know which one is correct.
Can a chatbot feel like a human to the average person? Sometimes. Is it the next step to creating a real intelligence that can exceed its programming? Maybe in the way that transistors led to personal computers -- a small step on a very very long journey.
We can say with high confidence that it is not weeks away. Years, A maybe. Decades to centuries is probably more likely.
Imo it'll take at the very least 70 years, even that is farfetched, I'd guess 100 years from now, we aren't nowhere near close. It's probably that we'll see a small outpost on Mars than we witness an AI that can actually mimic our brains.
In the current state of art, AI, whistl impressive, is still pretty dumb and sounds like a person that knows everything, but actually is still full of errors that show us it actually isn't aware of anything at all.
AGI is pretty much like fusion a technology from the future and that "always will be", we were talking about it since 50s, Geez, even before then. However, what I think we are getting close is to a widespread implementations of AI in our daily lives, that I don't doubt, just not self-aware ones.
Exemples: A personal assistant AI, an AI that can replace doctors in some cases, an AI that sounds like having emotion and that can talk to us but actually is quite dumb and relies on a large amount of data, an AI working in factories, an AI controlled truck planting and growing cops, a patrol drones AI, automated cars, an AI controlled maid robot to clean houses, that can help phds to deal with an immense amount of datas, even now they are already helping engineers to design more efficient CPUs and hardwares, none of them will be AGIs.
[removed]
The singularityi isn't real. Why? Because it's a bad description of the concept.
Knowledge expands at an exponential rate. This means that knowledge begets knowledge and discoveries follow eachother at increasingly shorter time frames. The speed of discovery is accelerating.
It is however not instant.
But! There will be a time somewhere in the future. Where knowledge moves at such a pace that humans will no longer be able to keep up with all the new discoveries being made in their fields. Simply because there are to many and there's not enough time.
Singularity in itself will happen when Ai does not need any form of human interaction to function. When a computer becomes sentient.
We are quite close imo. Chatbots are pretty dumb and most people will base their opinions on the likes of chatgpt or bing.
Some people seem to also think it's just slightly improved technology from decades ago and are not familiar with the advancements in transformer architecture and neural networks. Machines are learning on their own with no human input apart from initial parameters. Protein folding is a massive leap also. We are on the cusp of a new technological age now.
[removed]
xjuslipjaditbshr t1_ja9qxmy wrote
Yes, I guess so. As science and tech advances, we get closer, and closer. However we still don’t know how far out it is. Might be weeks, years or decades.