The zoomed out version that I didn't post shows Elgin on pretty much the same trajectory, but he only played 11 games total in his last two seasons. And yeah, obviously there would be some attenuation in a true model but these are very basic projections. I made this for Reddit, not a publication lol.
Also, I just drew the line at top 5 avg ppg scorers of all time for the purpose of projections. Karl Malone is 11 on that last, Kobe 12
19th and 20th seasons, respectively, with avg scoring rates that wouldn't have surpassed the record mark by the 20th season (where LeBron and Kareem set their records), and 11th and 12th on the ppg avg. list, which excluded them from this list.
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