[OC] I used prediction market data to chart inflation forecasts over the course of DecemberSubmitted by dynosaur7 t3_109fjtp in dataisbeautiful
Born_Room7048 t1_j3xyn6x wrote
Why is headline always lower than core over the last few months?
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Also where is this from?
dynosaur7 OP t1_j3xzj79 wrote
Headline is lower than Core right now because energy prices are dropping more than other categories. (Core doesn't include energy)
The data is from kalshi.com and you can view an interactive version at kalshi.com/forecasts/inflation
Name_Found t1_j3y1s80 wrote
Headline has big emphasis on energy which has fallen heavily due to overestimation of demand I believe so more supply less demand lowered prices so headline went down. However core doesn’t include energy and included more lagging behind items such as food which will benefit from lower diesel prices but haven’t reflected fully yet.
I’m pretty stupid so I probably missed something important but that’s about the general idea.
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