Submitted by Gideonn1021 t3_zgeqjq in history
imgrandojjo t1_izhi7bq wrote
I have a personal theory about that. I don't know how valid it is but it makes sense to me.
The sensational way to put it would be, "the Trojan War caused the Bronze Age Collapse."
Obviously it's more complicated than that.
My theory is that Troy, which is located near one of the two Turkish straits, had trading connections with grain kingdoms along the cost of what's Ukraine today. If we assume such farming kingdoms existed, Troy would be in a perfect position to flourish by playing middleman between these states and the hungry nations of the eastern Mediterranean, which would explain why such a powerful Trojan state existed in the first place that it could defy all of Greece like contemporary histories suggest it did.
We know the years before the collapse were marked by declining yields in most if not all of the major players in the region, and as the years went on and yields began to shrink further and further but the population didn't decline along with it. Usually when yields decline populations decline too Famine, disease, starvation, confilict over remaining sources of food, all usually combined to ensure the nation goes demographically negative until the population has shrunk to the level it can support. This didn't happen in the late Bronze Age. Or at least when it did happen, it happened all at once suddenly, rather than gradually..
Why? I believe it was because there was a source of plentiful grain to import -- a region that even today is one of the great suppliers of the world's food. Ukraine.
So the grain farms of the northern Black Sea, which I admit I'm presuming to exist but have been there as far back in recorded history as you care to go, became a critical source of food for the empires around the eastern Mediterranean and Troy prospered as a middleman, possibly by shipping the grain itself, and possibly by collecting strait fees or navigation fees on other merchant shipping to help ships traverse the straits safely to reach their customers on the other side.
This in turn would explain why Troy, despite being only one city, could have the economic clout and resources to face the might of the Mycenaean Greeks and think they had a shot (also possibly why the siege of Troy didn't work very well, as they had a ready source of food behind the siege lines that the Mycenaeans couldn't easily stop).
A long siege of Troy would, however, cut off the rest of the eastern Mediterranean from these supplies of desperately needed grain. It would turn the Turkish straits into a warzone and the Greeks would be trying to use their powerful navy to isolate Troy. The grain kingdom(s) of Crimea and the northern Black Sea, robbed of their customer base by the inconvenient strait, may have even fallen apart without a source of revenue they had become dependent on to fund their states, and when the siege settled down, the region had devolved back into a more primitive state, removing these kingdoms from the board as grain exporters for a period of time.
With the Trojan grain network gone, nations that had become more and more dependent on its merchants for food now had that support kicked out from under them. With growing populations and shrinking food supplies, and the deficit no longer easy to make up from import, collapse became inevitable. Ironically, this is also a plausible explanation for why the Greek themselves didn't exploit their victory to colonize the straits until many centuries later. Pulling down Troy's house pulled down their own as well!
It's just an idea. But I think it checks out if you believe (as I do) that the Troy that was besieged by the Greeks was the one that flourished during the late Mycenaean era, and I believe that's where the consensus is right now.
ammonium_bot t1_izsj579 wrote
> the might of the
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[deleted] t1_izskha9 wrote
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