freakame t1_istwqyu wrote on October 18, 2022 at 5:52 PM

Reply to comment by 10000Didgeridoos in 11 shot in Richmond within one week by Charlesinrichmond

> The 2021 rate (of violent crimes) is still 16% lower than a decade ago.

so it has decreased overall. yes, murders are up, that's not good, but having a meltdown over "increases in crime" over small sample windows isn't a logical way to view this. there are also a lot of issues with using a HIGHLY unusual set of years for comparisons. forceable rape went up in 2020 from 2019, then down in 2021 from 2020. is that significant? probably as significant as the murder numbers...

please do also note that cops have shown that they lie about numbers when it suits them. you have to immediately question the police as the source for this because there are no checks on their data, they refuse to release sources or information about how they get to these numbers, you just have to trust them. (believe me, I've FOIAd this kind of info before, they're assholes about it).

this is the data: https://va.beyond2020.com/va_public/View/dispview.aspx?ReportId=2

that tells you fuck all about anything. it's a number in a table, no records, no arrest reports, no conviction rates, nothing to give it meaning.

nartarf t1_isxb6hd wrote on October 19, 2022 at 11:48 AM

Yes take the data produced by the police with a grain of salt. Most sexual assaults are not reported. Most reported sexual assaults are not investigated or “solved” by police. It’s something like 20% clearance rate. I think Richmond’s doing pretty good if the crime rate is steady/decreasing AND the police are down 160 positions.