Submitted by possiblybaldman t3_11a9j56 in singularity
Ortus14 t1_j9rmhho wrote
Surveys don't predict technology. And who knows if any of these people are working towards AGI.
If you want technological predictions, you need to look at the information put out by people trying to make those predictions, which involve tracking trends in requirements such as cost of computation, cost of energy, funding rates, scaling efficacy, etc.
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