Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments

SoylentRox t1_j8e8c8p wrote

Reply to comment by fairly_low in Anthropic's Jack Clark on AI progress by Impressive-Injury-91

Can you go into more detail?

In this case, there is more than 1 input that causes acceleration.

Set 1:

(1) more compute
(2) more investor money
(3) more people working on it

Set 2:

(A) existing AI making better designs of compute

(B) existing AI making money directly (see chatGPT premium)

(C) existing AI substituting for people by being usable to write code and research AI

​

Set 1 existed in the 2010-2020 era. AI wasn't good enough to really contribute to set 2, and is only now becoming good enough.

So you have 2 separate sets of effects leading to an exponential amount of progress. How do you represent this mathematically? This looks like you need several functions.

7