Personally I think its creating just as many jobs as its replacing at present.

I work in tech and am aware of several companies that have started hiring MORE people to deal with an influx of chatGPT-created inaccuracies and problems. Mostly in support or testing roles. I also recall the sci-fi magazine that closed writing submissions and hired actual human writers because they were getting flooded with poor quality chatGPT writing submissions and had no way to vett the massively increased volume of submissions.

On the flipside I am not aware of any major layoff in my industry specifically related to AI, just huge problems being caused — so far.

Its not really ready for prime time, let's be honest, its still hugely unreliable.

Longer term for this industry — I still don't think its an open and shut assumption that it replaces jobs. I can see it replacing many tasks, and mostly competing with the people in my industry already offering "no code" products (which haven't replaced our jobs either despite those products existing for 20 or so years already)

And I mean, consider this: As an employer, if one of your employees suddenly started producing 10x as much code .. would you think "hmm I should fire them"? Of course not. I think its WAY more likely the effect on the industry will be more like: "wow this coder is on fire, I'm getting so much value here now that they're using AI; maybe I need to create more dev roles, this is a goldmine"

Idk why everyone assumes it automatically replaces jobs. That's a big leap of faith from what we are actually materially working with right now.