TheHamsterSandwich t1_iuf7a2w wrote on October 30, 2022 at 9:33 PM

If the singularity doesn't occur by 2045, or if AGI isn't achieved by 2029 Ray will lose all credibility. I wonder what will happen to this subreddit if that happens.

elfballs t1_iuffjet wrote on October 30, 2022 at 10:30 PM

I haven't been here long, but I think this sub is about the idea, not kursweil. It's no even completely original. It's okay not to have the timeline perfect.

TopicRepulsive7936 t1_iufcuq5 wrote on October 30, 2022 at 10:11 PM

Even if the 2029 long bets Turing test fails, or even if all information technology progress stops today, Kurzweil was more correct about the future than the average dummy like the person who wrote that article.

TheSingulatarian t1_iuf91n7 wrote on October 30, 2022 at 9:44 PM

Anyone who has been a follower of Ray's and is honest about him knows that he tends to be 10 to 20 years too early on his predictions. However, some remarkable things are happening of late with narrow AIs. So who knows what the future holds.

Regardless of whether the goal posts are moved backward or forward, this sub will continue.

TheHamsterSandwich t1_iufbzjf wrote on October 30, 2022 at 10:05 PM

Nah I'd bet the sub would be fucked. The majority of people here expect AGI before 2029. Kind of insane to me. So we'll see what happens.

Countingblackcrows t1_iugfycx wrote on October 31, 2022 at 3:10 AM

If you think this sub will shrink as technology continues its exponential rise I have a bridge to sell you