AdditionalPizza OP t1_it5f0tw wrote on October 21, 2022 at 1:41 AM

Reply to comment by HyperImmune in If you believe you can think exponentially, you might be wrong. Transformative AI is here, and it is going to radically change the world before the Singularity, and before AGI. by AdditionalPizza

Hopefully it happens quickly. Some people seem to want to hold onto jobs for as long as possible. But I'd rather most jobs go quickly, then just slowly and painfully.

If it goes too slow, policies will lag way too much getting ahead of it.

Talkat t1_itazxpq wrote on October 22, 2022 at 7:00 AM

Hmmm, I think a slow transition would be far less disruptive. You have a lot of people and system in place that will take time to adjust. A rapid transition will lead to a lot of unrest.

Unfortunately/fortunately, I think the transition will be rather fast

AdditionalPizza OP t1_itbd93c wrote on October 22, 2022 at 10:11 AM

The problem with a very slow transition, or one where people don't even pay attention is for the people that are affected directly by it. You don't care if your neighbour is unemployed because you got yours.

They will have to try and study a new career path for a couple years or start from the bottom of a trade. All while being unsure if their next career of choose will disappear before they advance at all.

A quick instantaneous one would be amazing, but extremely unlikely.

I'm not sure which end of the spectrum it will be, by my fingers are crossed for quick enough to reduce suffering for as many as possible.