GeneralZain t1_itftjaw wrote on October 23, 2022 at 9:42 AM

Reply to comment by ChronoPsyche in Given the exponential rate of improvement to prompt based image/video generation, in how many years do you think we'll see entire movies generated from a prompt? by yea_okay_dude

just so we are clear, I said one year MAX as in it's probably going to happen in less than a year from now.

I never said "oh it will happen eventually". I was referring to pace of change alone for transformational technology development, specifically AI.

yeah one year is a really short time period, I KNOW. that's what I keep reminding you that THIS YEAR WAS INSANE.

it will continue to get more and more insane over time.

that's what leads me to believe it will happen far faster than any realize. look at this year and assume the pace of development stays the same...we are in for a wild ride.

ChronoPsyche t1_itftygh wrote on October 23, 2022 at 9:48 AM

And as someone who has a better understanding of the current state of technology, I am telling you that what happened this year was predictable based on where the technology was last year. Text to full length coherent movie is not possible next year based on the state of technology this year, unless we have a major breakthrough. You're basically predicting based on feelings. Feelings don't cut it. Sorry.

GeneralZain t1_itk0u8i wrote on October 24, 2022 at 5:27 AM

haha I'm just pointing out what I'm seeing, no feelings involved at all :)

I cant wait to come back to this post in less than a year to remind you how right I was ;) see you then!