It’s a good question. Right now I think AGI happens around 2028-29. I think mass job automation will happen around that time too, potentially a couple years earlier. UBI will probably happen later, especially in the States where there’s still a “no handouts” culture with a lot of voting power. I’d say mid 2030s, with European and East Asian countries potentially early-adopting in the late 20s and early 30s.

Full Dive VR where you can fully inhabit completely realistic virtual worlds I actually think is also a bit further away. Like closer to 12-15 years. I kind of see this tracking similar to the evolution of video games, which has completely stalled out over the past half decade or so after evolving quickly through the 2010s.

That said, my timeline for all of this stuff has been virtually cut in half since I discovered this sub and started to realize how much further along we are than I thought, particular TTI advancements. So everything is subject to change and I could still be underestimating the pace…