Submitted by visarga t3_yym067 in singularity
Comments
AsuhoChinami t1_iwvlwd6 wrote
When do you think that will be? And which jobs do you mean?
tatleoat t1_iww0ndo wrote
A few months til it comes out, a year until it becomes widespread as a tool, then 2 years after that most office jobs will be fully automated
ActuaryGlittering16 t1_iwwqkof wrote
>the next gen AI programming buddy
Can you elaborate on this? Trying to learn more about some of these advancements.
tatleoat t1_iwwvzfr wrote
I sure can, currently we only have Codex and Copilot, which are fairly useful AI programming assistants that can be prompted to write small bits of code for you, match the relevant variable to the context automatically, and format the code properly. Sometimes it doesn't work so you have to know what you're doing a little but it's useful, I use it every day all day.
However, very very soon we will have something astronomically better, an AI that can program entire unique processes based on a prompt and then successfully debug itself:
https://youtu.be/Bogi_HEeID4?t=858
Here's a chain on Twitter from Adept, all the videos in these 7 posts are mind-blowing:
https://twitter.com/AdeptAILabs/status/1570144499187453952?t=kwcioTeGrsxlhwyN2VNcXw&s=19
ActuaryGlittering16 t1_iwwxsqp wrote
Yeah that’s incredible. This will make writing legal briefs and demand letters almost effortless. The AI will even be able to analyze a police report and medical records to get the relevant information needed when drafting the demand. I cannot wait for this tech to mature, hopefully we only have a couple more years until it’s available.
I will say that whomever can release a product like this specifically trained for attorneys will be a zillionaire if they can get it to market fast enough. Wish I was more tech savvy lol…
LevelWriting t1_ix9mil1 wrote
What about call centers? When will they finally get replaced?
tatleoat t1_ix9o3ri wrote
6 months to a year, were nearing the endgame now
LevelWriting t1_ix9uuw3 wrote
Wow really? You sound pretty certain. This would be massive
tatleoat t1_ix9wq60 wrote
Basically everything is one or two papers down the line from being perfected or usable, and when GPT-4 lands then that'll be the final straw for call centers specifically. The benchmarks and the metrics are constantly breaking expectations and look really good, I see no reason why every industry won't be completely transformed by the end of next year
visarga OP t1_iwutuf1 wrote
This is good reading, will synthesize where we are and what's coming soon.
I'd like to add that training LLMs on massive video datasets like YouTube will improve their procedural knowledge - how to do things step by step, with applications in robotics and software automation. We have seen large models on text and images, but video adds the time dimension, there is audio and speech as well. Very multi-modal.
Action driven models are going to replace more and more human work, much more than the tool-AIs we have today. They will cause big changes in the job market.