GayHitIer t1_j4c07n4 wrote on January 14, 2023 at 5:13 PM

We really don't know, but with the latest results I would think it will happen sooner than later.

Though nobody knows how to reach/make an agi/asi.

My prediction is anywhere from 2023 to 2029.

But it might happen sooner than that.

I hope Ray Kurzweil stands correct.

cloudrunner69 t1_j4ec9dg wrote on January 15, 2023 at 2:44 AM

Nobody really knows how to make a human either. They just stick it in the hole and hope for the best.

CubeFlipper t1_j4chf4j wrote on January 14, 2023 at 7:05 PM

>Though nobody knows how to reach/make an agi/asi.

I don't think this is entirely true. Nobody can guarantee anything, sure, but OpenAI for example seems pretty confident they know where to put their efforts. Given their track record and explanations of their intuition, I believe them.

imnos t1_j4crrb2 wrote on January 14, 2023 at 8:14 PM

It might happen sooner than 2023?

GayHitIer t1_j4csvx6 wrote on January 14, 2023 at 8:22 PM

I think honestly anything around 2027-2029 seems pretty reasonable.

But it might happen soon.

Talkat t1_j4d96xi wrote on January 14, 2023 at 10:12 PM

Gay Hitler. I agree that there is a slim chance it could be in the next two years with unlikely. Keep being a homo.