Submitted by blueSGL t3_10gg9d8 in singularity
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j546mre wrote
Reply to comment by Borrowedshorts in I was wrong about metaculus, (and the AGI predicted date has dropped again, now at may 2027) by blueSGL
I think most experts fit in the latter group, though, and the ones who have very optimistic timelines are a minority in that group too, and not just in general.
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