/r/singularity

I'm gonna keep typing because of futurology's stupid comment character limit. This could've been said in one word but here I am.

Idk but I'm feeling pretty good about being in Michigan.

Now I'm imagining our sun randomly getting extinguished due to aliens somewhere else draining that bitch.

No, and I never said that. It was his opinion that LLM's will stall out and we'll have another AI winter, not mine. I don't see the issue here.

I think we have plenty of other types of models that will find success, LLM's seem to only be one piece of the puzzle.

Can you see the future? Nobody knows for sure how far LLM's will take us. A prediction is not a lie even if it turns out to be false.

Did you miss the part where I said I didn't agree with him?

I mean I up voted him even though I disagreed, but yeah most people just downvote whatever they disagree with not necessarily what promotes discussion.

Man this sub can be something else sometimes. The thread is literally asking for what people think could slow things down and you get downvoted for stating your opinion lol. People need to lay off the hopium a little bit.

To be clear I don't even really agree with your opinion (I think LLM's could possibly see a slowing of improvement soon, but think they will be quickly replaced). Regardless, we should want dissenting opinions, especially when we're asking for them.

Yeah and hardly any women. Who wants to live in a place like that? Well other than gay dudes maybe lol.

Nobody knows. Lots of progress has been made with funding but so far we have nothing that meaningfully improves lifespan in a general sense. Diet and exercise is still your best bet.

Blackbox in the sense that it's very difficult to detect what the outputs will be given a set of inputs currently. They definitely can be understood at higher levels of abstraction but I think it'll be awhile before the "emergent" behaviors these models sometimes display is well understood.

I somewhat agree because these models are basically a black box and it's only going to get worse. To play devil's advocate however I will say that since Snapchat is essentially paying for API access they won't be able to do anything with the model that OpenAI doesn't allow. They still hold the keys so far.

The difference seems to be that the other companies are investing in AI to boost their main business (Nvidia for hardware sales, Tesla for Self driving, etc.)

For the big 3 AGI is the business.

The difference seems to be that the other companies are investing in AI as a supplement to their main business (Nvidia for hardware sales, Tesla for Self driving, etc.)

For the big 3 AGI is the business.

Yeah they had one chance to set the narrative and make a good impression and they kind of blew it. It's gonna take some work to reset the public opinion.

Fair points and yeah I suppose for a company the size of Meta there's no excuse to not have adjustable graphics. Idk why that thought didn't cross my mind. I'm cautiously optimistic about the future of VR but I agree that Meta's implementation of it thus far is super bland. If it wasn't for the stuff they've showed off in the pipeline I really wouldn't have much good to say about the work they're doing. Not sure why they thought the current showcase was a good product to release or market with.

I think he's 5-10 years too early, although I'm personally happy that all this money is being used to improve the tech more quickly.

At this point it's just a matter of how much money they're willing to burn until they can hit the gold mine of unobtrusive and high fidelity consumer level devices. There's a good chance they run out of steam before then even if they could sustain this level of spending for over a decade. It's hard to stay motivated if adoption stalls.

The biggest problem with the metaverse is that it has to work on standalone headsets which have the processing power of a smartphone. This restricts it to shitty flat cartoon environments instead of something with more life and realism that a powerful PC could push.

Meta does have some amazingly photorealistic avatar generation software and facial tracking features in the pipeline. It's just that their best selling products (Oculus Quest 1 and 2) can't handle it. I think the introduction of the Quest Pro is the first taste of what's to come hardware wise. If they start marketing it towards businesses and build out those use cases we could see a drastically improved iteration of the metaverse compared to what we have now.

Personally, I don't think he's wrong. I just think he's early. Whether or not he's too early depends on how much money he's willing to burn and how long it takes for the tech to get good enough that the average consumer sees it as a must have. I'm moreso referring to the hardware than the current shitty incarnation of "VR worlds".

Glasses then?

That's not really an online business though. That's a brick and mortar with a website.

Why are you such a cunt

Even if they never come to grips with it, their children and grandchildren grow up in this new world and to them it's nothing new or scary. Just the way it's always been for them.

How so? He's actually building something.

I 100% agree, but I made a poll about 2 weeks ago asking people's opinion if they should be banned or only allowed on certain days. The results were like 70% in favor of them. I don't understand it