LauncherOne was 500 kg per launch to LEO, for 12 million, with a 2/3 success rate. Just because there is strong demand doesnt mean you dont have to be competitive.

Oh there is demand. Demand for launch services still outpaces supply. Its exploding.

https://spacenews.com/launch-demand-remains-high-despite-industry-struggles/

Virgin Orbit was just bad.

Imagine if we tried to halt the development of the tractor because of potential impacts on farm work.

Gemini 8 spun fast enough for the astronauts to experience earth-like gravity. The first, only and totally experimental human-scale artificial gravity experiment.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gemini_8

> It's interesting how ChatGPT-4 agrees with most of the article.

ChatGPT does not agree or disagree with anything. It spews statistically probable words given a long context and he corpus its been optimized with.

Man I can't wait for adversarial attacks to make people understand that this is a text generator, not an AI oracle.

The fact that you dont still work 120 hours a week in a field says otherwise.

There had never been anything like the tractor, the computer, the internet...

Its your first time, innit? Ive heard that every decade since the 70s. A productive society is a society that can afford a lot of goods and services and thus improvements in productivity leads to higher employment, not less.

You drank way much kool aid, kid. You should take a break from social media.

Of all the ideas in the history of humanity, taxing improvement in productivity is the dumbest.

Exactly. You can try to regulate how its used, but its impossible to regulate how its developed. Whatever is expensive to do now will be trivial in a few years.

At any rate these calls are mostly out of either ignorance or a desire of control.

>GI or Artificial General Intelligence is in its nascent stage with ChatGPT.

Its nooooooooot ChatGPT is as narrow as an imagenet classifier.

>Flying cars

Its called an helicopter

Thats called supersitions. When superstitions become a dogma then its a religion.

I really hate the idea that we'll export all of this religious nonsense out of the planet.

Its 4gig of weights. There is no comparison with GPT-4.

They arent running GPT4 locally, it sends the request through an API.

GPT3 has 175 billion parameters, at float16 thats 326 gigabyte just for the parameters. That would fill most phone's storage, not to mention the 12 gig of ram the most expensive phones have.

Then GPT4 is many times that...

The cost of inference, in GPU and thus electric power, of these LLM is just too high. A 8.5 billion searches a day, replacing google search with GPT4 would consume an estimated 7 billion watt hours. A day. Just for the power consumed by the GPUs.

You would need over 638 hoover dams just to power that.

Every sub, the more mainstream it gets, eventually turns into /r/antiwork

Maybe. Blue hasnt made it to orbit in what, 23 years? ULA's only interested in government launches. Relativity is more interested in 3D printing than spaceflight, its a big question mark wether they'll be competitive if and when they get to orbit.

There is a market in being number 2. By being a telecom, SpaceX has become a competition of a lot of its clients. Which would like to launch with someone else if there was a decent option. Ive met with many clients in the software world that didnt want to have their stuff running on AWS because they compete with Amazon on the retail space.

Both projets mentionned are just radioisotope power? Surely we can do better than that.

When that happens, mission accomplished I say.

Again, no. Typing code is to programmers what hammering is to carpenters. Give me the best nailgun in the world, it still wont make be a carpenter. Having AI tools to assist in programming is welcome.

Atlas V would have a pretty tight confidence interval on that 100% reliability yeah.

With that number of flight there is only a 0.6% probability that Atlas' V "actual" reliability (partial or total success, were it to fly an infinite number of time) is less than 95%

So if I remember my Stats correctly, and its been over 20 years so bear with me, we can say with 99% confidence than Atlas V's is at least 95% reliable?

Ah, people with no vision. Thanks to low gravity and free real estate, you could build on the moon a bigger and better telescope than anything possible on earth. All you need to low launch costs.