Mary had a little lamb

The doctor almost cried

Old McDonald had a farm

The doctor almost died

--heard as a child in the 50s

German: Hold my beer

What specifically are the problems?

My prediction, flying cars will happen, but for specific applications that require them. They will not replace surface vehicles

>when people interact with someone from their social “outgroup,” they often come to view that outgroup in a more favorable light

Related story

My brother is a Republican. While I lean conservative on many issues, I find today's Republicans to be dangerous and terrifying. When we have a private, rational discussion on specific policies, we agree on many points

When he's on a rant, he spews the most awful, irrational hate for all Democrats and love for Trump

The interaction with the outgroup needs to be a rational policy discussion, not an angry rant

And it's possible that an AI legal and policy analyst could help design a UBI based economy that worked well

You fear an imaginary future created by hypemongers

Predictions are hard, especially about the future. I'm optimistic that the new tools will help us solve our biggest problems

>I fear that people will lose their enthusiasm for productive activities

I don't. I believe the opposite

Current AI systems do not generate, they remix. I'll be impressed when they create something original. The idea of magically creating complexity from a simple text prompt is silly. The text would need to be as complex as the desired result. Given the poor quality of much of today's media, AI could probably equal them soon. So to answer the question, it will lead to vast quantities of boring crap

There are truly exciting things I believe AI will do. Complexity in software is cancer and it's getting worse. I don't see AI writing useful, complex software from a simple text prompt, I see an AI assistant that helps programmers manage complexity, find unintended side-effects, unplanned dependencies, edge cases, undefined behavior and other things that human programmers have problems with

In politics, we currently have a mess, where every politically active person or group tries to predict the result of legislation they support or oppose. Prediction is hard, and laws most often fail to achieve their stated purpose. An AI based political simulator could give us better insight into the real effects of laws before they are passed

>which are absolutely not a replacement for landlines

YES!!! This is true

According to a bogus study by lying liars who lie a lot, all the time

Our semi-rural area has NO good broadband, yet the lying liars claim we are "served"

Mostly agreed

Many of the proposed uses of VR seem silly and not very well thought out. In the article, shopping is discussed. If you know the part number and simply want to order it, today's systems work fine. For things like clothes, you want to see them in person, feel their texture and more importantly, feel the fit. There is no substitute for physical reality in this case

I can easily imagine industrial and scientific uses for the tech. It's already useful in games and I imagine artists will find a use for it, but a lot of what's proposed by its supporters seems silly

Postal delivery is the PERFECT use for EVs

Too bad they ignored Tesla, GM, Ford, etc and gave the contract to a fukkin' defense contractor. Worst choice ever!

Unbelievably pessimistic

I am optimistic that we will use the tools to create the StarTrek future

AI won't do everything, but it will be a very useful tool

A better question is how do we design an economic system that doesn't require everyone to get a job

Word salad except the last line, which I agree with

Why do so many people assume AI will be malevolent?

I'm optimistic that the good will outweigh the bad

If AI was perfected, it might make a great judge, in theory. It couldn't be bribed or influenced by politics, in theory. In practice, many problems exist

It's water soluble. Should be easy to remove

Everything in the post is exaggerated. Most of the referenced tech actually works a bit less good than stated. I'm optimistic about the future of this tech, but while the present shows promise, the pundits are ignoring the real limitations

One response to the article

>Can you imagine the effect this is going to have on academia?

yup. Any test that can ne taken by an AI will be redesigned. Homework writing assignments will be replaced by writing assignments in a closed room with no outside access or an oral presentation

I'm optimistic, but also realistic

The tech doesn't live up to the hype, and for every good use that is found for it, some asshole will invent a bad use

The key to success will be some sort of self-correction scheme

How about moving it to the US?

According to the Iron Law of Headlines, any headline with the word "breakthrough" in it is exaggerated hype

Compressed hydrogen sucks

Research into better ways to make, store and use hydrogen rocks

>The problem is twofold:

It is useless

It works poorly

Kinda reminds me of a Reagan quote. He was asked "do you trust Gorbachev?". He answered "I trust him to act in the best interests of the USSR"

They can definitely be trusted to use our data to their advantage