Oh for sure, Russia is still ultimately to blame for both the war in general and their own reckless shooting near the border making spillover inevitable eventually. There wouldn't be any air defense missiles landing in Polish fields if they didn't need to be fired to begin with.

Russia is staging missiles out of Belarus and the Black Sea to target stuff in Western Ukraine. The issue here isn't that the Russians couldn't have hit into Poland but that they jumped the gun on ascribing blame in what's already an insanely tense scenario.

Even if he somehow pulls out a win, which seems pretty damn unlikely at this point, then he's just going to end up with the insurgency from hell immediately after. The Ukranians are a country of 40 million people, mostly indistinguishable from ethnic Russians on sight, have close to a million trained and heavily armed soldiers, a substantial chunk of them speak fluent Russian, and they share a border with Poland.