My predictions for 2023

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Russia / Ukraine war ends when Putin is ousted in a military coup. The new president calls off the war and restores ties with the west.

GPT-4 is released and is a significant advancement

advancements will continue to be made in gene editing, fusion, stem cell research, aging research, etc

the Iran protests die down and there is no regime change in Iran

8k TVs, monitors, etc go down in price, as well as OLED, QLED, etc

% of energy from renewable sources globally continues to increase, % from non renewables decreases

lab grown meat becomes more mainstream, products made with lab grown / fermented / cow free milk enter the market, advancements are made in lab grown wood, leather, organs, etc

we will continue to read about ‘breakthroughs’ in various fields, most of which we will never hear about ever again (for various reasons such as the article being hype and / or fabricated, working out initially but failing in further trials / testing, etc) but some will be genuine breakthroughs and will represent an advancement in that field

2023 is warmer on average than 2022

Finland and Sweden join NATO by the end of 2023. There is a coup in Belarus, Lukashenko is ousted, and the new govt. is pro western (as most of the population of Belarus is anti Lukashenko and pro west) and they apply to join NATO

Spoiler alert we will probably never hear about any of that ever again

how many times have we heard about "breakthroughs" in battery tech that we never hear about again? I remember seeing an article 5 years ago about a battery that charged in 10 mins and could hold up to 4 days worth of charge, well 5 years later and nothing

I assume it hasn't been used for that specific type of cancer before

Like i said i hope my prediction is wrong and we get agi sooner

ok so maybe my prediction is pessimistic but its more realistic than saying were gonna have agi in a few years like a lot of ppl here say

Idk i could be wrong and i hope i am but it just doesn't seem like were gonna have agi before then.

No offence but 2040s seems more realistic than a lot of predictions on here, sry but were not gonna have agi this decade (would love to be wrong tho) and we are also not having asi next month! (I actually saw someone on here saying that!!!)

because imo thats more realistic than a lot of predictions on here, even tho im probably being too optimistic

I get why they publish hype articles but its annoying bc i get excited and then im like hang on its probably hype

Hopefully

So its just hype / fake news then? Damn i was rly hopeful

They said theyre gonna use it to make and train ai

https://www.hpcwire.com/off-the-wire/tachyum-to-present-human-brain-scale-ai-supercomputer-at-expo-dubai/

https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2022/01/20/the-human-brain-scale-ai-supercomputer-is-coming/

Apparently were gonna have a 64 exaflop supercomputer by the end of the year

Exactly it feels like most of the 'breakthroughs' on this sub are either hype or fake

because big pharma doesn't want cures. They don't make as much money from cures, otherwise we probably would have cured a lot of diseases by now.

Yes its probably hype just like most of the articles on here, from what ive heard its the same as gpt 3 but its scaled down and does the same thing which is good bc u need less paramaters to do the same thing

Progress will be made in ai, gene editing etc

basically just like this year

I cant find the article but it seems like were decades away from agi, would love to be proven wrong tho

Ask pretty much any expert and theyll tell u that we are decades away from proto agi, let alone agi. In fact a lot of them would probably laugh at how optimistic im bieng

sry but we are nowhere near agi. I would be surprised if it happens before the mid to late 2040s