RedFiveIron
RedFiveIron t1_ja9dqez wrote
Reply to comment by johrnjohrn in ELI5: why does/doesn’t probability increase when done multiple times? by Reason-Local
If the die is fair then it's fair, that's all she wrote. Rationally you should always follow the math. Constructing an absurdly unlikely scenario doesn't invalidate the math.
RedFiveIron t1_ja9b547 wrote
Reply to comment by johrnjohrn in ELI5: why does/doesn’t probability increase when done multiple times? by Reason-Local
If the die is fair the odds don't change. The historical information is irrelevant as the die has no memory.
A long string of rolling the same number may indicate the die is not fair, in a non-hypothetical situation.
RedFiveIron t1_ja9arin wrote
Dice have no memory. What happened in previous rolls in no way affects the outcome of future rolls. The odds of rolling a six don't change to "make up" for not rolling a six in a while.
RedFiveIron t1_iy9bkov wrote
Reply to comment by dominus_aranearum in Garbage Disposal wired directly into Dishwasher - fixing wiring and adding outlets by TonyFugginMontana
Do you mean a ground?
RedFiveIron t1_iy91e0m wrote
Reply to Garbage Disposal wired directly into Dishwasher - fixing wiring and adding outlets by TonyFugginMontana
The depicted yellow wire running to the switch is unnecessary. A single pole, single throw common switch will do fine with 2 conductor wire. Black from the always on receptacle to switch, red from switch to switched receptacle.
RedFiveIron t1_ja9g8f3 wrote
Reply to comment by johrnjohrn in ELI5: why does/doesn’t probability increase when done multiple times? by Reason-Local
You're constructing an extremely unlikely scenario to rationalize thinking a die has memory. It does not.
The previous results don't affect future outcomes for a fair die, no matter what those previous results are or how unlikely that outcome was.
Let me toss that back at you: How many unlikely outcomes have to occur before it "begins to matter"? Is one enough to start ignoring the math? Ten? A thousand?