Rottimer

Rottimer t1_j7z6gok wrote

Reply to comment by Papa--Mochi in Median New York rent passes $4,000 a month in January by geoxol

And that makes a lot of sense given how covid hit this city. A LOT of people that could, left. The question is whether the population rebounded in 2022. There are a lot of indicators that it has and that would explain the increase in rents. It could be collusion using software or some combination of factors. But I don’t think it’s reasonable to definitively say that the population has stayed depressed when there is conflicting data and we know the Census PEP has consistently under estimated.

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Rottimer t1_j7z4tzh wrote

Reply to comment by thisismynewacct in Median New York rent passes $4,000 a month in January by geoxol

And that’s a whole other issue. People living here for 180 days per year to avoid contributing to the tax base and then others just cheating by reporting their address as elsewhere but spending 100% of their time in nyc.

I know 3 high income people (300,000+ salary) that have done that, where they report living in low or no income tax state because they own homes there, but spend nearly 100% of their time in nyc paying rent. It’s something they can do with their employer because they’re remote and only come into the office a couple days per month.

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Rottimer t1_j7x09s1 wrote

Reply to comment by tiregroove in Median New York rent passes $4,000 a month in January by geoxol

The curbed article is an opinion using the Postal Service's Change of Address Requests - which the author even admits has problems. It's almost as if he picked out part of this report:

https://www.nyc.gov/assets/planning/download/pdf/planning-level/nyc-population/population-estimates/understanding-current-population-trends-in-nyc.pdf

And then ignored everything else that went against the idea that the population is falling. I found this bit particularly fascinating:

>And I spent a long time trying to make sense of data from the New York City Water Board, which shows that the amount of waste treated by the city’s processing plants jumped in 2021. (Maybe everybody had shit their pants when they found out how much their rent was going up?) But it turns out those plants treat not just human waste but stormwater too, and 2021 was rainier than usual. At least I think that’s the reason — the Water Board quit returning my emails after a while.

So the Waterboard is treating more waste, but he dismisses it as just more rain. Did he try to speak to an third party to make sense of the data? Or did he just not want to make sense of the data?

Calling moving companies doesn't really help much either because of course people aren't generally going to call local NYC moving companies if they're moving into NYC from elsewhere. Rather they'd do that if they're moving out and use one local to them for moving into the city.

I'm not saying that the report on CNBC is right. I'm just saying the curbed article is also ridiculous.

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Rottimer t1_j7h9ok6 wrote

Reply to comment by Calm-Heat-5883 in Migrant students in NYC schools without proof of vaccinations by drpvn

I’m not calling you antivax - I’m telling you that it’s highly unlikely that even your pristine public school barred kids from entering the school at the beginning of the year simply because they hadn’t submitted an updated vaccination form. The DoE gives you a lot of time to rectify that before enforcing the rules.

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Rottimer t1_j7gl54w wrote

Reply to comment by Grass8989 in Migrant students in NYC schools without proof of vaccinations by drpvn

While I'm sure it must have happened somewhere in the city, I have never known a kid to not be able to attend at the start because their vaccine paperwork had not been completed, or their vaccines were not up to date. I have known several parents who have submitted it "late" while their kids had been attending school for weeks.

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Rottimer t1_j6ywddp wrote

Reply to comment by NetQuarterLatte in Alvin Bragg defends plea deal in brazen antisemitic beating | A defendant who said he'd 'do it again' if given the chance was offered a plea deal by the Manhattan district attorney by [deleted]

“Sending a message” is bullshit and there is ample evidence that it doesn’t work to deter further crimes. Even the justice department has denounced “sending a message”

https://nij.ojp.gov/topics/articles/five-things-about-deterrence

You treat each case individually based on the evidence available.

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Rottimer t1_j6wwcz2 wrote

Reply to comment by SP919212973 in George Santos' campaign spent more than $26,000 at an Italian restaurant in Queens. That's enough to buy 1,131 orders of the rigatoni bolognese. by MrKleen10

The bigger your name, generally the more investigated you’ll be. Trump is going through the shit he’s going through because he decided to run for president. Of course journalists and partisans are going to go through his shit with a fine toothed comb. The same thing happened to Obama, the Bushes, McCain, etc.

Think about Obama. They found a video of his pastor giving a sermon that touched on 9/11 when Obama apparently wasn’t even at church that was mildly critical of US foreign policy. That’s how in-depth they looked at his life. McCain has an adopted daughter from Bangladesh. They even combed through her life when she was a child to find something.

So while there might be skeletons in some of their closets. In general, the higher you get, the more scrutiny you get. Don’t run for office if you have unresolved criminal shit in your background (hookers, nannies paid under the table, alcoholism, illicit drug use, etc.). It will come out. And have a story for the resolved criminal shit.

Sadly, you can probably get away with domestic violence.

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Rottimer t1_j6v6ni1 wrote

Reply to comment by EvanMcD3 in Alvin Bragg defends plea deal in brazen antisemitic beating | A defendant who said he'd 'do it again' if given the chance was offered a plea deal by the Manhattan district attorney by [deleted]

Are you fucking serious? Burglaries didn’t used to happen? In NYC? Did you move here yesterday? Here’s a similar string from 2021 - before anyone on this sub heard of Alvin Bragg

https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/newyork/news/lower-manhattan-string-of-burglaries/

Here is another one

https://pix11.com/news/local-news/manhattan/thieves-stole-more-than-72k-during-two-day-manhattan-burglary-spree-nypd/amp/

Here is 2019, before the pandemic:

https://abc7ny.com/burglaries-midtown-manhattan-string-of-surveillance-video/5312174/

And another one from 2019:

https://pix11.com/news/local-news/manhattan/group-of-teens-wanted-in-string-of-violent-newsstand-robberies-nypd/amp/

Just a reminder, 2019 was near the record low for crime in living memory for nyc. But go on and tell me how this never used to happen and it’s all the DA’s fault. . .

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Rottimer t1_j6ukv7v wrote

Reply to Alvin Bragg defends plea deal in brazen antisemitic beating | A defendant who said he'd 'do it again' if given the chance was offered a plea deal by the Manhattan district attorney by [deleted]

>Awawdeh, who reportedly called Borgen a “dirty Jew” during the attack and later said he would “do it again,” did not initiate the assault and left before it was over, according to a spokesperson for Bragg’s office. He has no prior criminal convictions.

My emphasis. And further down the article:

>Bragg said his office is “requiring felony hate crime pleas and incarceration, at the minimum,” for three of the four defendants in the case, including Mohammed Othman and Mahmoud Musa, who must plead to the top charge of assault in the second degree as a hate crime, a Class C felony with a minimum sentence of three-and-a-half years in state prison and a maximum sentence of 15 years.

Makes sense to me.

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