SurroundSwimming3494
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1sro3l wrote
Reply to comment by SharpCartographer831 in What is the sub's prevailing political ideology? (post singularity) by 4e_65_6f
What about your family and friends?
This comment and the amount of upvotes it has seriously disturbs me.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1pd8ig wrote
Reply to comment by Foundation12a in What sector are we going to see a big "anti" movement in next after art? by Crush4885
I guess we'll find out next year.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1pakf6 wrote
Reply to comment by MarginCalled1 in What sector are we going to see a big "anti" movement in next after art? by Crush4885
Good points. But to be fair, I said next year, not in 50 or even 10. I don't think what I commented is unreasonable.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1p4rb3 wrote
Reply to comment by Sieventer in What sector are we going to see a big "anti" movement in next after art? by Crush4885
Maybe some will express annoyance/displeasure with chatbots, but thinking that AI will be threatening to replace them as early as next year is an overreaction, in my humble opinion.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1p459r wrote
Reply to comment by FranciscoJ1618 in What sector are we going to see a big "anti" movement in next after art? by Crush4885
>I can't wait for this!
I'm very puzzled by this desire of yours, to say the least.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1h89fk wrote
Reply to comment by Saylar in Hype bubble by fortunum
I can see some jobs going away this decade, but I don't think there'll be significant economic disruption until the 2030's. My overall expectation is that many lines of work will be enhanced by AI/robotics for a long while being they start reducing in size (and by size, I mean workers). I just don't see a jobapocalypse happening this decade like others on this sub.
>The world will start to change radically in the next 5 years is my prediction and we're not ready. Not even remotely.
This is a bit excessive, in my opinion. I'd be willing to bet that the world will look very similar to the way it looks today 5 years from now. Will there be change (both technological and societal) in that time period just like there was change in the last 5 years? Of course there will, but not so much change that the world will look entirely different in that timespan. Change simply doesn't happen that fast.
The world will change, and we need to adjust to that change, but I'm just saying we shouldn't go full on Chicken Little, if you know what I mean.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1h5w35 wrote
Reply to comment by Ortus12 in Hype bubble by fortunum
>People don't understand how close we are to the singularity.
But you don't know that for a fact, though. I don't know why some people act as if they know for a fact what the future holds. It's one thing to believe it's close, but to claim that you know the singularity is close (which is what it seems you're doing in your comment) comes off as pretty arrogant.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1h5ntf wrote
Reply to comment by Gimbloy in Hype bubble by fortunum
I see what you mean.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1g9c1p wrote
Reply to comment by Gimbloy in Hype bubble by fortunum
>It’s time to sound the alarm.
I agree that we as a society should start preparing at least in some ways for possible future scenarios and make sure that we smoothly transition to the world that awaits us in the next few years/decades, but saying it's time in to "sound the alarm" creates unnecessary fearmongering, IMO. A rehashed GPT3 and AI generated images, as impressive as they are, should not elicit that type of reaction. We are still ways from AI that truly transforms the world, IMO.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j14o4rl wrote
Reply to comment by coumineol in Are we already in the midst of a singularity? by oldmanhero
>We're still planning our life in terms of which college we should attend, jobs, careers, salary, or even retirement, while it's painfully obvious that all those concepts are about to lose all their meaning soon.
It's not a good idea to stop planning for your future life because of events that are as of right now hypothetical and thus may never come to pass, or at least come to pass in your lifetime.
Also keep in mind that your belief isn't universally held at all and that many AI researchers, futurists, sociologists, economists, etc. would disagree with it.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j0uxz2o wrote
Reply to comment by Akashictruth in Prediction: De-facto Pure AGI is going to be arriving next year. Pessimistically in 3 years. by Ace_Snowlight
I doubt it. There will be a lot of change, but I think a truly transformative decade is closer to mid-century and beyond.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j0588m1 wrote
Reply to comment by MechanicalBengal in Is it just me or does it feel like GPT-4 will basically be game over for the existing world order? by Practical-Mix-4332
I'm somewhat more skeptical. This AI isn't factally reliable, yet, so you can't really trust it with answers. Another reason I'm skeptical is because many people don't even try to conversate with the automated customer service agents we have now and skip right to a human agent, or would prefer to speak to them. I definitely think future models will definitely reshape customer service, but not this one. I might be wrong, but I guess we'll just have to wait and see.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j041tx7 wrote
Reply to Is it just me or does it feel like GPT-4 will basically be game over for the existing world order? by Practical-Mix-4332
Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you the most sensationalist post ever posted on r/singularity.
But seriously, this is just insane.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j00l2sf wrote
I highly doubt this version of chatgpt (if that's what you're referring to) will ever have much of an impact on the job market.
That being said, I can see future models having noticeable impacts on the economy, with the more advanced they get the bigger the economic impact.
By 2025, my guess is that the job market of today will still look largely the same as it does today (with the big exception being that significant parts of it have would have become reliant on AI tools and many other fields would be in the process of adopting them - I think it could be a whole decade from now before AI is ubiquitous in the entire workforce), only because that date is pretty near and AI, although unquestionably impressive today, is still the subject of quite of bit of hype IMO when you not only inspect it closely and see that the AI in question still has significant shortcomings but also become more aware of how wide the breadth of tasks humans can perform (particularly at our jobs) is and how much further AI has to go in order to rival that breadth, so I think it still has a ways to go before it has the capacity to noticeably impact the workforce, let alone be adopted by workplaces. Those are my 2 cents.
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_iwi4m5r wrote
Reply to comment by GodOfThunder101 in A typical thought process by Kaarssteun
Wdym?
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_iw8k79u wrote
Reply to comment by botfiddler in The CEO of OpenAI had dropped hints that GPT-4, due in a few months, is such an upgrade from GPT-3 that it may seem to have passed The Turing Test by lughnasadh
Link? And when did he say this?
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_iw31bli wrote
Reply to comment by RobleyTheron in The CEO of OpenAI had dropped hints that GPT-4, due in a few months, is such an upgrade from GPT-3 that it may seem to have passed The Turing Test by lughnasadh
Do you know the name of the conference?
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_iw1j5o8 wrote
Reply to comment by GreenWeasel11 in The CEO of OpenAI had dropped hints that GPT-4, due in a few months, is such an upgrade from GPT-3 that it may seem to have passed The Turing Test by lughnasadh
Other than Goertzel, who else thinks it's a few decades away at most, and how do you know Goertzel thinks that, if you don't mind me asking?
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1ssoai wrote
Reply to comment by Douglas12dsd in What is the sub's prevailing political ideology? (post singularity) by 4e_65_6f
I hope this comment was made in jest.