It's not exponential, it's hyperbolic. Hyperbolic growth grows faster and faster and has an asymptote (singularity) at a certain date. This asymptote date is basically where the line goes vertical and progress becomes so fast we can't measure it anymore. Some estimates have placed this date around 2046. See this video for more details: https://youtu.be/3K25VPdbAjU
cakesquadgames t1_j8fz4h1 wrote
Reply to Anthropic's Jack Clark on AI progress by Impressive-Injury-91
It's not exponential, it's hyperbolic. Hyperbolic growth grows faster and faster and has an asymptote (singularity) at a certain date. This asymptote date is basically where the line goes vertical and progress becomes so fast we can't measure it anymore. Some estimates have placed this date around 2046. See this video for more details: https://youtu.be/3K25VPdbAjU