kmtrp

kmtrp t1_ix1i1o3 wrote

Sadly, yes. Religion is not in a holy book, it's in our brains. We've been selected to find patterns, whether they are there or not; to seek, trust, and follow authoritarian figures; to think tribally and to think of us vs them on everything.

We assumed that the internet was where religions died, at least I had high hopes, but that has not been the case. Their numbers are dwindling, but too slowly and considering we are in the information age... it's rather embarrassing.

It's never been easier to get true answers, and humans have never been so misinformed.

We are apes, and it shows.

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kmtrp t1_iwbfsst wrote

>Ok, no art is not created in a vacuum but that's not the problem here.Humans need to process the art through their senses, to the brain, then, eventually learn and apply their skills to re-create something new.It usually takes time to become a good artist and even more so to really be original.

AI works similarly, except it doesn't take much real-world time to train and produce. We like to think very highly of ourselves, we are so original, we are so creative and complex... but this AI revolution is proving that we are not that awesome.

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>AI is a great technological feat but it's as good as the input fed into it.

No. The output is greater than the sum of its parts. Same thing with LLM. It's something called emergence, and we don't know how it happens.

AI is not going to replace only artists, but every job we can do with a computer.

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>That's where a lot of the AI community fails to really question the motives and implications behind it.

The AI community is most aware of these changes and what the implications are going to be. The clue is in the name "singularity". That's why we often talk about UBI and other solutions because we know they're coming, and they're coming faster than the world knows. We have daily discussions about it and have tried to warn everyone about it, but those who don't understand how exponential growth works frequently accuse us of daydreaming. You should spend more time here reading than writing.

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kmtrp t1_itbu74n wrote

Hey I apprecite the effort. I thought it was more of a consumer related thing, like the consumer prize indicator or some such? IIRC that's how we know what is the current inflation?

I swear I've read up on this a few times, can't keep it in my head for more than a few weeks, it's so abstract.

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kmtrp t1_it7e2nq wrote

There are many predictions, as there are people. What I've reliably understood is overestimating a century but underestimating a decade.

But this time, almost every prediction is bound to be insanely wrong either way.

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kmtrp t1_it6lb3h wrote

It's widespread, but couldn't tell you about other branches. We hired a PhD student to work on a metapaper (a paper about papers) to separate the wheat from the chaff, and she uncovered 11,000 papers that were irreproducable or completely useless. Now think of all the research money and researcher's time that went into those papers. There are other concerns that point to a broken system of "publish, just publish something".

The way we do research is broken. It is disheartening.

Check out Veritasium talking about some of this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42QuXLucH3Q

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kmtrp t1_it4uz9t wrote

Just to remind everybody... I worked in neuroscience for ten years (not a scientist) and we gauged around half of all published papers were not reproducible. It's very easy to publish trash. Outsiders should know what the Impact Factor is and how all journals are ranked with it from less BS to completely BS. Don't think that "peer review" means a lot.

Which is another way of saying we've been curing rats of all ailments since the 1990s. I worked in spinal cord injuries and I've seen it "cured" a dozen times (it hasn't been cured yet, only some motor improvement and only very recently)

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kmtrp OP t1_it4if8n wrote

Right now today no, we don't have human level digital artists where you can converse with it and it does what you want step by step, but we are very close as in less than a year close. Check this, which is for coding, now think of that approach with the art engines we have today, much less tomorrow.

You not only have to look at present and add the current rate of improvement, the current rate of improvement will be demolished by tomorrow. Essentially this. People have a hard time understanding exponential growth, hence the disconnect between the two groups of people.

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>Art defies imitation. That is what art is.

This is such anthropomorphic delusional bullshit I'm speechless. That's just, wouldn't even know where to begin.

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kmtrp OP t1_it4hpt3 wrote

Cars, trucks and other targets will take some time, but think about remote jobs. Most of the listings in Fiverr and similar sites are going to be demolished.

All those people from 1, 2 and 3rd rate countries that are studying web development right now, backend devs, database people... most people that are in the low to mid level dev skills are going to bite the dust pretty soon.

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kmtrp OP t1_it05umq wrote

>to recognize your field won't be automated

If anything I said software dev is going to get super automated.

I'm not saying everything will be fully automated. What I am saying is that most people whose work is done in a computer will eventually be automated away. And programming seems to be one of the first industries.

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kmtrp OP t1_it04xnr wrote

All art is derivative. We tend to think too highly of ourselves. Humans don't have a magic "something" that is unatainable by other forms of intelligence or creativity.

AI is already upending these notions and we just scratched the surface. Get used to the idea we are not that special and AI is and will exceed all expectations or you are in for a rough awakening.

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kmtrp t1_it03qv4 wrote

Yeah! I saw OpenAI's CEO say the same crap, something like "this will augment productivity, it'll be a companion to all developers...". Man, you are talking about a software that can code without a human! WTF?

So I am shocked and disappointed at the lack of honesty. The people working on these projects know that speech is full of shit, right?

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