"Theoretically, with a powerful enough computer (many, many years from now), you could accurately predict any future event."
Chaos Theory says that's just not true. For the layman, Chaos theory started because a scientist (Edward Lorenz) had a set of completely deterministic functions that simulated the weather. What he found was that for two inputs that differed by less than 0.00001 that the simulation evolved completely differently.
What does this mean for predictability? To predict something in the future, you need to input the current state. What Chaos theory tells us is that we can never know the current state precisely enough to be able to accurately predict the future.
mbardeen t1_j0b39eu wrote
Reply to Predictive Artificial Intelligence by Final-Cause9540
"Theoretically, with a powerful enough computer (many, many years from now), you could accurately predict any future event."
Chaos Theory says that's just not true. For the layman, Chaos theory started because a scientist (Edward Lorenz) had a set of completely deterministic functions that simulated the weather. What he found was that for two inputs that differed by less than 0.00001 that the simulation evolved completely differently.
What does this mean for predictability? To predict something in the future, you need to input the current state. What Chaos theory tells us is that we can never know the current state precisely enough to be able to accurately predict the future.
This also holds going backward in time.