plummbob

plummbob t1_j6fk6lw wrote

Went to Maryland briefly and decided randomly to stop at Total Wine....

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and damn does it make the ABC store look like its run by the government. Honestly, i haven't really shopped for etoh outside of VA and NC, and what I felt was what I imagine what it was like for Nikolai Krushchev when he visited a grocery store.

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Like holy shit the selection.... I even found baijiu, which the ABC doesn't even list on their website, and was able to pick up some serious cognacs and scotch's that ABC never has. of which Total Wine had like 5 of each available. And there was this lady letting me taste test like 4 different bourbons. Nevermind the aesthetic was just like shopping at a normal place, not the soulless mental institution vibe the ABC is going for.

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Driving back home, in the rain, to our controlled state was depressing. But my alcohol shelf is looking might more prestigious right now.

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plummbob t1_j6cuglq wrote

> everyone should take all steps they can to give themselves the best chance they can to get the house they want in this market.

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why artificial shortages lead to discrimination and inefficient allocation 101.

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if its anything other than "that is the best price," then the we need more housing competition.

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plummbob t1_j6b7r7x wrote

>The younger generations are fucked because of profit incentives, and now the cartel ass algorithms are squeezing every paycheck because rent is being decided by soulless code. Yeah it costs money to make houses no shit.

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profit incentives are what build homes in the first place --nobody builds a home to loose money. think about why profits are rising, but supply is not.

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consider the inputs to housing: its not like the drywall, nail, lumber and concrete manufacturers are sharing these windfall profits. so the physical inputs to housing are more or less unchanged real prices. its a regulatory bottleneck. --- my neighborhood has seen home prices 2x in the last 5 years, yet the city hasn't legalized one additional home here. in fact, the quantity of homes in my neighborhood hasn't changed in 80 years. 80 years, and not one additional home. thats crazy

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>Zillow or BlackRock can buy 1,000 houses, and that’s just a drop in the bucket to them. They can swallow up an entire community like it’s nothing, and then what? they effectively control the regional markets?

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it actually doesn't change anything. since those homes already commanded monopoly level profits, zillow owning them doesn't confer additional rents. because if they did, the landlords would already be charging those prices.

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zillow faces the same rental market that the landlords do, so demand isn't really changing. ie -- the people zillow rents to and the people the landlords rent are the same, so they are both cost constrained in the same way.

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>I feel like this is grade school, literal monopoly board game logic. We’re literally the most prosperous nation on the planet and the majority of people are just fucked.

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Its not really wrong. NIMBY's basically control the city council and entrenched landlords/home owners are able to extract massive rents simply because they have their thumb on the supply. They know that if they legalize housing more broadly, prices will fall. So they purposely keep supply so constrained....and often limited to expensive large-scale development.... they purposely lag supply to maintain their extra-normal profits.

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Its basically regulatory capture by homeowners against renters.

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plummbob t1_j6aleji wrote

>unit supply growth has not kept pace with the increase in demand.

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Every house in my neighborhood is on a 1/3 acre lot and have seen home prices nearly 2x what they were about 5 years, and nearly 5x cost of the houses original real construction costs. But the city has not legalized one additional unit since 1950, when the neighborhood was complete. 5 fold price increase, 0 supply increase.

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That is an elasticity of supply of....0. Perfectly inelastic. The city simply does not allow enough to housing to be built. Its baffling and frustrating.

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plummbob t1_j6akx0i wrote

>Housing/shelter is commodified by entities so wealthy that of course it seems illogical to a regular person that can’t gobble up vacant homes.

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bruh, housing was "commodified" since the invention of housing. A house is literally combination of commodity goods -- timber, drywall, romex, concrete, nails,etc. Even the trim or 'luxury items' are mass produced, "commodified" products.

Appealing to somekind of other, "the corporations" or "foreigners" or whatever I always see, is garbage, neither backed by the data (low vacancy rates) or economic intuition. No, they are not buying them to keep them empty because the opportunity cost is huge (ie, lost rental income).

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plummbob t1_j2xaigb wrote

Prices tell you if a place is nice or not. So if home prices are higher than the cost of construction, then you're not at risk of making a place undesirable, because if it was undesirable, prices would fall below construction costs.

And there is a missing middle for businesses just like there is for housing. The zoning restrictions basically create a price floor that small businesses/low income people can't ever reach, effectively pricing them out of the market.

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plummbob t1_izfryhz wrote

A homestead exemption in rva won't help if you try to move to nova. It would have to be statewide, but we can see in areas other areas like california and colorado, it doesn't help in any long term way in maintaining affordability. Nor does it help renters, who are often low income, and depending on the extent can cause budget issues from a decline in revenue.

A more economocally effective policy is a low income tax credit.... a "property tax break circuit breaker"

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plummbob t1_izbnw2v wrote

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>Richmond advocates a constitutional amendment to allow local governments the option of creating tax exemptions and other tools to protect homeowners from rising real estate taxes because of soaring home prices and assessments.

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prop 13 to RVA? I heard its been a resounding success in california.

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> Allowing local governments to develop and implement means-tested, long-term owner-occupied real state tax relief programs will help prevent the displacement of long-term owner occupants due to dramatically rising property tax assessments, thereby leading to neighborhood gentrification,” the city states as its third legislative priority.

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we'll fucking do anything but legalize more housing. we'll even ensure people are stuck in pockets of multi-generational poverty before they legalize more housing.

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plummbob t1_ivlvmma wrote

>He said that eventually all the people that do your manufacturing will become as wealthy as you and then you will become their slaves

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But then they loose their comparative advantage, the reason people traded with them at all, and those low-cost manufacturing firms will move elsewhere, and you'll just import/export intermediate white-collar goods. Like, there isn't a bubble to burst.

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Really -- you should ignore the veiled fear of the "foreigner" and just think of trade as a technological black box -- that there its a whole different country is irrelevant. You put in good x, and it spits out good y. And the greater the difference in prices x and y are, the more it will spit out. That the box is actually a country across the ocean is irrelevant.

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>And the financial sector being what it is, went insane with that power, gutting the American dream in the process and making the Elites of the country superwealthy.

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power to do what? make loans? People want to limit the supply of housing and are surprised that prices balloon. Its baffling.

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plummbob t1_iv4zk5m wrote

If demand for carbon really is inelastic, then that means climate change is efficient, welfare maximizing outcome. And it would mean any alternative is more costly and welfare reducing. Otherwise demand wouldn't be inelastic. But there are clearly ways in which firms can reduce their carbon consumption.

And yeah, +dividend reduces any concerns over progressive taxation.

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