The question asked is "will the market be higher or lower 12 months from now." But the plotted line seems to be a percentage change in the market, not a yes or no answer.
I'm guessing the prediction is something like "higher" answers minus "lower" answers. But a bunch of people saying "higher" is different from a bunch of people saying "30% higher."
sickagail t1_j8mxavd wrote
Reply to [OC] Weekly Poll asking if the Stock Market will be Up or Down in 12 months plotted with the Future 12-month Outcome. by Square_Tea4916
I'm a little confused.
The question asked is "will the market be higher or lower 12 months from now." But the plotted line seems to be a percentage change in the market, not a yes or no answer.
I'm guessing the prediction is something like "higher" answers minus "lower" answers. But a bunch of people saying "higher" is different from a bunch of people saying "30% higher."