It will take ASI

So much better than that

I hope not! They've already gotten Unstable Diffusion kicked off two fundraising sites based on anti AI rhetoric and I'd like that to be the end of their wins

Traditional artists are lobbying against image AIs with an interest in putting the genie back in the bottle

As soon as we can get nanomachines swimming around past the blood brain barrier. That will take some type of nanoscale printing, and a sophisticated AI to coordinate them all. I think 10 years seems like a decent guess if things start getting exponential soon

If it does it'll be closer to 10 years than 5

Blood Meridian starring Philip Seymour Hoffman

It just means the growth curve is a little steeper than he predicted it would be 26 years ago, wouldn't really think too hard about life expectancy going down when 30% of the US pop thinks vaccines have sinful dancing ice phantoms inside it. This is not a reflection of science it's a reflection of an almost 3 year health crisis

I suppose it would depend on how good it is

If it's a sufficiently powerful AI then it will have its own plan for the transition, I think we're gonna be ok

Remember the numbers 2029 and 2045

I mean, computers as smart as us in terms of processing power will probably be here 2030 at the latest, and then they literally double in intelligence every 18 months after that? It's no pipe dream but it is weird. 7 years ago Hillary and Trump were gearing up for an election, 7 years from now we might be a post-labor society.

Totally respect that, I think that's rational. It's just that I also see AdeptAI and how close at hand it is and how many low skill office jobs that it would obliterate overnight. It has more to do with how many nonsense jobs there are that take very little substance than the actual raw power of the AI. it won't take much brainpower but it'll knock out more jobs than we think and that's what's gonna shake us

I feel like 2022 is going to be remembered as the last year before shit hits the fan and AI explodes in the public consciousness as the most important thing going on in our lives. I think we're going to start to see entire job sectors disappear, maybe not industries but most businesses are going to lose at least one department.

"Just don't fucking kill each other" is all I can ask

You should have seen the internet in the 90s man what a weird place in time

The Adept utility AI that's going to help us program and troubleshoot more quickly and effectively using prompt engineering is going to come out 2023 and hopefully that's going to exponentially explode the development of VR and AR tech

Or actionscript apparently

I remember deciding not to learn python like ten fifteen years or so ago because I heard it was "a good beginner language" which made me feel like it's usefulness would be limited to the learning period so I skipped out on it to learn actionscript instead lmaoooo

If we're able to use robotic precision that enables us to be super discerning and accurate then shouldn't we be able to use more elaborate but more consistent non lethal force instead?

Source on that, please?

Basically everything is one or two papers down the line from being perfected or usable, and when GPT-4 lands then that'll be the final straw for call centers specifically. The benchmarks and the metrics are constantly breaking expectations and look really good, I see no reason why every industry won't be completely transformed by the end of next year

It is really hard to speak to people about the problems facing humanity and the world without turning it into a "how will the singularity fix this problem" conversation, but often times when the discussion at hand is one about those classically unsolvable problems like wage inequality where it's so unsolvable it's basically a fact of daily life, but if the conversation turns to solving it it's just impossible for me to imagine the solution being anything else

6 months to a year, were nearing the endgame now

I sure can, currently we only have Codex and Copilot, which are fairly useful AI programming assistants that can be prompted to write small bits of code for you, match the relevant variable to the context automatically, and format the code properly. Sometimes it doesn't work so you have to know what you're doing a little but it's useful, I use it every day all day.

However, very very soon we will have something astronomically better, an AI that can program entire unique processes based on a prompt and then successfully debug itself:

https://youtu.be/Bogi_HEeID4?t=858

Here's a chain on Twitter from Adept, all the videos in these 7 posts are mind-blowing:

https://twitter.com/AdeptAILabs/status/1570144499187453952?t=kwcioTeGrsxlhwyN2VNcXw&s=19