urgjotonlkec

urgjotonlkec t1_j42aq6j wrote

What really concerns me is that bias has now started to creep into academia and the scientific community. I always knew you couldn't trust the media spin, but increasingly now you can't even trust the "facts" and the "experts". I don't even know where a person can go now to find truth. I've often said if I were to magically become a Billionaire the thing I would want to spend my money on would be to set up an apolitical research institute that does nothing but try and determine the facts surrounding politicized issues.

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urgjotonlkec t1_j413coq wrote

I just want to point out that perception and reality are two vastly different things. The government and media was doing shady stuff this whole time, we're just more aware of it now. To a certain extent this increased distrust is a good thing. Unfortunately most people still only have one eye open. They're just noticing the shady stuff the "other side" is doing while being completely blind to their own sides shortcomings.

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urgjotonlkec t1_j3s198c wrote

>You're telling me that every major investor is just luck? It had nothing to do with skill, knowledge and understanding?

Yes, that's a pretty common school of thought supported by considerable research. For instance people have looked at the fund managers with the highest performance in given years and there's no correlation year to year.

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urgjotonlkec t1_j3rp7w7 wrote

Not really. Let's say you go to Vegas with $10,000 and put it all on black at the roulette table. There's a roughly 50% chance you double your money and 50% chance you lose it all. Win 23 times in a row and you will almost 110 Billion. That sounds extreme unlikely, but if ever US adult did it you would expect to have made 20 people succeed. Ironically that's roughly the same order of magnitude of centi-billionaires in the US.

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